Close
to 35 per cent of voters will abstain from voting or are undecided about which
party to vote for at the forthcoming general election, according to a survey
commissioned by Allied Newspapers and published Saturday in The Times.
The study, conducted over a two-week period starting on September 17, found
that 25.76 per cent of all respondents were likely to vote for the Labour Party
and 19.20 per cent said they will vote for the Nationalist Party if an election
were held the day after the interview. The "undecided" amounted to
24.98 per cent of respondents and 9.77 per cent claimed they will not vote.
Across the different electoral districts surveyed by The Times, the largest
difference between the MLP and the PN featured in the third (Fgura, Marsascala
and Zejtun), second (Vittoriosa, Cospicua, Senglea, Kalkara, Xghajra and
Zabbar) and first (Floriana, Valletta, Hamrun and Pietà) electoral districts in
declining order, with the MLP featuring a majority of responses (response =
51.99 per cent, 45.15 per cent and 21.89 per cent respectively).
The highest level of "undecided" responses were located in the
first district and the largest numbers of those saying they "will not
vote" were found to be in the eighth (Birkirkara, Santa Venera, Iklin and
Lija) and third districts (18.92 per cent and 17.26 per cent response
respectively). Alternattiva Demokratika featured the highest level response in
the ninth district - Msida, San Gwann, Swieqi, Ta' Xbiex and Gharghur - (4.74
per cent).
The two large political parties face a different fate when it comes to the
popularity of the leaders, even if both PN leader Lawrence Gonzi and MLP leader
Alfred Sant headed the "top-of-mind" mentions when participants were
asked to name such a personality. In the survey, Dr Gonzi was mentioned by
30.17 per cent of respondents as against Dr Sant's 18.89 per cent.
Other political figures attracted responses that typically stood at less
than five per cent of the responses, except for former MLP leader Dom Mintoff,
who got 5.39 per cent of all mentions. A good 25.86 per cent of respondents
could not mention a political figure. An analysis of the mentions when divided
according to their political party affiliation showed that 39.87 per cent of
the names listed were figures connected to the PN and 32.26 per cent to the
MLP.
In terms of the general situation in the country, the survey found that 32.6
per cent of respondents perceived that Malta's conditions are worsening -
3.7 per cent of them indicated that "things were worsening considerably.
Another 25.1 per cent thought that conditions are improving, with 2.8 per cent
of them arguing that "things were improving considerably".
Furthermore, 38.4 per cent of respondents felt that Malta's
performance is neither bad nor good, leaving a further 3.8 per cent of
respondents being unable to answer. A total of 638 interviews were conducted
with a sample of participants, selected at random. An overall response rate of
21.3 per cent was attained throughout the field research.